01 — THE CORE

Send one URL.
Get full
market research
in seconds.

Paste a Polymarket event link into Telegram. Polytragent instantly parses the URL, detects the event slug, hits the Gamma API for every sub-market (active, expired, and resolved), extracts prices and liquidity, sends everything to Claude Sonnet for synthesis, and delivers edge-scored recommendations: BUY YES, BUY NO, or HOLD.

URL Parsing

Detects whether you sent an /event/ (multi-market) or /market/ (single) link. Extracts the slug automatically. No manual input required.

Full Sub-Market Discovery

Gamma API fetch returns ALL sub-markets under the event — including expired and resolved ones. Context matters. History informs the recommendation.

Instant Telegram Delivery

Results delivered directly to your Telegram in seconds — with trade links you can click to execute immediately on Polymarket.

polytragent — /research
polytragent — analysis pipeline
02 — THE PROCESS

Behind every
recommendation:
millions of
data points.

Polytragent doesn't guess. Every recommendation is synthesized from exhaustive data: all sub-market prices, volume across markets, liquidity analysis, cross-platform forecasts (Manifold), and the AI's own prediction history. Claude Sonnet sees everything and makes a judgment call.

01

Parse URL & Detect Mode

Is this an event or a single market? Extract the slug and prepare for Gamma fetch.

02

Fetch All Sub-Markets

Hit Gamma API with the slug. Retrieve active, expired, and resolved sub-markets with their YES/NO prices and volume.

03

Extract Prices & Liquidity

Parse every market's YES and NO price, trading volume, and liquidity. Identify the most active markets.

04

Cross-Reference Manifold

Search Manifold Markets for matching binary forecasts. Compare prices. Calculate divergence.

05

Check Prediction History

Search prediction_store for past predictions on similar topics. Review accuracy and calibration.

06

Claude Analysis

Send all data to Claude Sonnet. AI synthesizes every data point and makes a probabilistic judgment.

07

Score Edge & Confidence

Calculate edge % (market price vs AI estimate). Assign confidence: HIGH, MEDIUM, LOW. Generate recommendation.

08

Log & Deliver

Log all 12 predictions to predictions.json with timestamps, prices, and reasoning. Send to Telegram with trade links.

How does
this work
in practice?

What's the difference between /event/ and /market/ URLs?
/event/ URLs have multiple sub-markets (e.g., "Trump 2026 midterms" has "GOP wins House", "Dem wins Senate", etc.). /market/ URLs are single binary bets. Polytragent detects both and fetches accordingly.
How many sub-markets can one event have?
Most events on Polymarket have 8–15 active sub-markets. Some have 50+. All are fetched and analyzed. Polytragent doesn't skip markets just because they're small.
Does Polytragent use expired markets?
Yes. Expired markets give historical context. They show what prices were before events resolved. This informs calibration and helps predict the current market's trajectory.
How is the Gamma API called?
Polytragent calls /events?slug=YOUR_SLUG and /markets endpoints. These return JSON with every sub-market's metadata, prices, volume, and liquidity state.
How fast is analysis?
Full research from URL paste to Telegram delivery: 8–12 seconds. URL parsing: 100ms. Gamma fetch: 500ms. Claude analysis: 3–5 seconds. Delivery: instant.
Can I ask follow-up questions?
Not yet. Polytragent is one-shot: you send /research with a URL, it analyzes, and delivers. Future versions will support /dive SUBMARKET for deep dives into individual markets.

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polytragent — example
All analysis happens in real-timeTrade links are clickablePredictions are logged automatically

Risk Disclaimer: Prediction market trading involves significant financial risk. AI-powered research does not guarantee profits. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Polytragent is a research tool, not a financial advisor. Only trade capital you can afford to lose. This website does not constitute financial advice.